Annual Works Plan Evaluations (EV) are a type of Statewide modelling project. They provide a statewide analysis of the risk reduction achieved from completed hazard reduction treatments. They follow a similar model to an AWP Forecast project, but instead of analysing the impact of planned treatments, it retrospectively analyses completed treatments from the previous financial year, evaluating how successful these works were for mitigating risk. In many cases and for a variety of reasons, what was planned in an AWP's may not always have been able to be executed in its entirety. AWP Evaluation projects can identify the risk reduction of works that were actually completed, rather than what was planned to be completed.
Scenarios
There are two types of modelling scenarios in an AWP Evaluation modelling project:
Current Risk (code = CR) (reference run). The Current Risk scenario assesses the statewide fire risk starting January 1st for the following year with no proposed treatments. In AWP projects, the Current Risk scenario is from the current Authorised Snapshot project (when you create your AWP Forecast project). It is used only as a reference run — you cannot run it or make any changes. The RMP uses the input and configurations from the reference run to create the Future Modelled scenario.
If someone Authorises a new Snapshot project, it will not change your AWP Evaluation project reference run.
Past Modelled (code = PM). The Past modelled scenario assesses the statewide fire risk of the past year. The date is locked to the date of the Authorised Snapshot reference run.
You can change the PM date in RMP Sandbox.
Runs
AWP Evaluation projects have both Fire Behaviour runs and Impact Analysis runs.
Inputs and configurations
AWP Evaluation projects have the following required inputs and configurations that you need to add during setup:
Scenario date
Modified Fire History (replaces Fire History).
Once you complete setup, the RMP automatically creates your first Future Modelled scenario, pulls inputs and configurations from the reference Current Risk scenario run, and will have the PM-1 being set up activity. You can override all inputs and configurations.
You can find the reference run on the top navigation bar.
Weather Regions
Statewide projects use Weather Regions. These polygons divide the state into sections to represent weather across an area for risk modelling. They may not align with existing NSW weather boundaries. Each Weather Region has its own Fire Danger Rating (FDR) values and weather streams.
Outputs
AWP Evaluation projects have the same outputs as Snapshot projects. For a complete list, see List of modelling outputs.
Change in Risk
Each new run automatically generates a Change In Risk product, comparing it with the reference run.
You can manually generate on-demand Change In Risk products between runs other than the reference run via the Compare tab. For more information, see Generate Change in Risk.
Running and managing your project
Different project types have shared tasks and features. For information on how to run and manage your project, see Common tasks and features.