BFRMP projects help inform Bush Fire Risk Management Plans (BFRMPs) across NSW to meet the requirements of Section 54 of the Rural Fires Act. They allow Bush Fire Management Committees (BFMCs) to model bush fire risk across several scenarios, including the current risk, the risk in five years, and the risk in five years when applying a Fuel Management Register (FMR) (treatments). By comparing the future risk and future risk with treatment scenarios, you can better understand the effectiveness of an FMR within a BFMC area.
Application of BFRMP project results
BFRMP project results give fire practitioners a more comprehensive understanding of how their immediate landscapes and vegetation type respond to prescribed fire conditions.
Scenarios
There are three types of modelling scenarios in a BFRMP modelling project:
Current Risk (code = CR). The Current Risk scenario assesses the fire risk starting on January 1st for the following year with no proposed treatments.
Future Risk without Treatment (code = FR). The Future Risk without Treatment scenario is similar to the Current Risk scenario but with an ignition date five years into the future and an increase in the cost of values for some plantation datasets.
Future Risk with Treatment (code = FT). The Future Risk with Treatments scenario is the final scenario in a BFRMP modelling project. It predicts the bush fire risk five years after the Current Risk scenario if the BFMC implements all its proposed treatments outlined in the draft Fuel Management Register (FMR). You modify the Phoenix fuel type and fire history inputs by incorporating the FMR in the FT run. BFMC's will develop their FMRs with assistance from the results produced from the RMP. There will always be considerations that computer modelling cannot capture.
Feedback from BFMC representatives informs the inputs for each scenario.
The following diagram shows a high-level overview of a BFRMP modelling project’s structure and flow.
Runs
BFRMP projects have both Fire Behaviour runs and Impact Analysis runs.
Inputs and configurations
BFRMP projects have the following required inputs and configurations that you need to add during setup:
Fire Danger Ratings (FDR)
Weather Streams
Once you complete setup, the RMP automatically creates the Current Risk scenario using defaults for all other inputs and configurations. You can override all inputs and configurations (RMP Admin users only).
Outputs
BFRMP projects have similar outputs as other modelling projects. For a complete list, see Modelling outputs.
Change in Risk
Each FR and FT run are automatically generates a Change In Risk product.
You manually generate on-demand Change In Risk products between runs via the Compare tab. For more information, see Generate Change in Risk.
Running and managing your project
Different project types have shared tasks and features. For information on how to run and manage your project, see Common tasks and features.